Category: East Asia
Beyond Military Exercises: Is China Testing the Conditions for a Taiwan Blockade?
China’s military exercises and expanding maritime presence around Taiwan raise questions about Beijing’s ability to impose a blockade without launching a full-scale invasion. IJ-Reportika examines the strategic risks, potential economic consequences and implications for Taiwan’s autonomy and international security.
China’s Maritime Militia Surfaces Off Taiwan’s East Coast
TAIPEI, Oct 8, 2026 A Chinese fishing boat that doubles as a militia vessel has been spotted off Taiwan’s Pacific coast for the first time. The sighting appears in a surveillance report by Taiwan’s Apex Aviation, which Reuters reviewed. The vessel, the Minfudingyu 07902, was seen in mid-August operating alongside a Chinese coast guard cutter and a research vessel. Apex says its reconnaissance aircraft detected the group more than 30 nautical miles off Hualien county, with the three vessels spread across a radius of about 10 nautical miles. The company documented the cluster with radar screenshots, infrared imagery and automatic-identification system data. It withheld the exact date, citing concerns about counter-reconnaissance against its operations. Two senior Taiwanese officials, speaking anonymously, confirmed the vessels’ presence. They named the cutter as 2502 and the research ship as Xiang Yang Hong 03. One official said the fishing boat belongs to the People’s Liberation Army’s maritime militia and was operating in coordination with coast guard harassment drills. He said militia boats exist “to conduct substantive harassment.” The other official said the three craft were in an area Chinese vessels rarely use and had been placed under heightened monitoring. Taiwan’s defence ministry said Beijing is using law enforcement and scientific research as cover to widen its operations in peacetime and project an impression of de facto jurisdiction. China’s Taiwan Affairs Office and defence ministry did not respond to requests for comment. The east coast matters because Taipei treats it as critical to wartime supply routes from allies. China has stepped up activity there since June, with regular coast guard patrols. Taiwanese officials believe Beijing is rehearsing a possible maritime blockade using overlapping military, paramilitary and civilian assets. Apex’s defence and security director, Honor Hung, said warships, coast guard vessels, research ships and some civilian craft continue to operate in overlapping ways around Taiwan. He cautioned that a single tracking could not establish the vessels’ missions or whether they were coordinating. What our report found This sighting fits a pattern we documented in our investigation of China’s distant-water fishing fleet, first published in January 2023. That report predates the Taiwan sighting and does not address it. It examined how the fleet operates across every ocean and how often it clashes with the domestic laws of other states and with UNCLOS. Our report found that Beijing officially counts about 2,500 distant-water vessels, while multiple studies put the real number above 18,000. It also found that China tops the IUU Fishing Index, with more than 60 percent of its vessels involved in illegal, unreported or unregulated fishing, according to the 2021 rankings. We documented crews switching off transponders near other countries’ waters, with AIS gaps of at least eight hours. Our analysis also covered the fleet’s use for espionage and reconnaissance and its role in asserting territorial claims. The Apex sighting shows how that ambiguity plays out near Taiwan. The militia, which analysts say lets Beijing assert maritime claims while keeping a civilian appearance, dates to the 1950s and has mostly been seen around South China Sea flashpoints. A vessel that looks like a fishing boat can serve a state purpose, and it operates in the same waters as coast guard and research ships. Our findings on the fleet’s size, opaque tracking and dual use help explain why the Minfudingyu’s appearance off Hualien deserves close attention. Sources: The Straits Times (Oct 8, 2026); IJ-Reportika, “An Investigation into the Dubious Chinese Distant-Water Fishing Fleet (DWF)”
Mapping Power: What Xi Jinping’s Travels Reveal About China’s Global Strategy
How Xi Jinping’s 55+ foreign trips reveal China’s strategy in Russia, Africa & Latin America — investments, debt-trap debates & illegal fishing.
China’s New Defence Mobilisation Law: How Beijing Is Preparing Civilian Technology for Future War
China’s revised defence mobilisation law brings AI, drones, data, software and civilian industries into Beijing’s preparations for modern warfare.
The Two Koreas: Division, Comparison, Restrictions, and Alliances
How Korea split in 1945, how North and South Korea compare today on GDP and freedoms, what’s banned in each, and who their key allies are.
The Trishuli Catastrophe: Himalayan Flood, Chinese Hydropower, and the Risks of a Seismic Frontier
What triggered the deadly August 2026 Nepal-China floods, and what the disaster reveals about Chinese hydropower dams in a seismic Himalayan corridor.
China, Technology and Global Power: An In-Depth Conversation with Shannon Brandao
In this exclusive IJ-Reportika interview, China specialist and China Boss founder Shannon Brandao discusses Beijing’s geopolitical strategy, economic pressures, technological ambitions, global supply chains, AI, national security and the future of independent geopolitical journalism.
Taiwan’s Unresolved Status: History, Identity and the One China Policy
Taiwan’s unresolved status lies at the intersection of history, democracy, diplomacy and geopolitics. From the Chinese Civil War and the Republic of China’s relocation to Taiwan in 1949 to today’s democratic Taiwan, the island has developed a distinct political identity while remaining diplomatically contested. This article examines Taiwan’s history, how Taiwanese people view China, the meaning of the One China policy, why only 12 governments formally recognise Taiwan, and how countries such as the United States, Japan and Malaysia maintain varying degrees of strategic ambiguity.
Who Is Leading the AI Race? Grok, OpenAI, Anthropic, Perplexity, and the Chinese Challengers
Money, users, benchmarks, cost, and trust each point to a different leader in the 2026 AI race. This piece compares Grok 4.5 and Grok Imagine (xAI), OpenAI, Anthropic, Perplexity, and the fast-growing Chinese model ecosystem (DeepSeek, Qwen, Kimi, GLM), with a closer look at DeepSeek’s documented political bias, censorship, and data-privacy issues based on IJ-Reportika’s investigation and independent research since.
Security Breach in Royal Marines Drone Fleet Linked to Chinese-Made Camera Components
A fleet of Royal Navy surveillance drones operated by the Royal Marines was found to contain camera components that were communicating with a server based in China.